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Post by redsfanman on Mar 2, 2015 16:36:17 GMT -5
I refuse to vote for a lack of a 162-0 option. 162-0 counts as '98 or more'.
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Post by The Duke on Mar 2, 2015 23:26:24 GMT -5
I refuse to vote for a lack of a 162-0 option. 162-0 counts as '98 or more'. I only vote for 162-0
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Post by general on Mar 3, 2015 0:33:33 GMT -5
I think 85 is best case scenario. 77-79 sounds about right.
85 if Votto plays 150+ games and Bruce hits like he used to. Byrd, Mesoraco and Frazier need to produce. A couple guys like Cingrani and Desclafani need to have breakout seasons.
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Post by kinsm on Mar 4, 2015 9:37:08 GMT -5
Below are my projections for the Reds offense:
Player - .AVG - .OBP - .SLG - .OPS
Votto - .295 - .420 - .480 - .900 Frazier - .260 - .325 - .450 - .775 Bruce - .250 - .320 - .455 - .775 Mesoraco - .250 - .325 - .450 - .775 Byrd - .260 - .310 - .440 - .750 Phillips - .260 - .310 - .390 - .700 Hamilton - .255 - .300 - .350 - .650 Cozart - .240 - .285 - .365 - .650
Bench - Craptastic
Combine that with the fact that Cueto went from throwing 69 innings in 2013 to 243 innings last year, Bailey is coming off injury, and Cingrani/DeSclafani are currently question marks...
I just see little chance of this club making the playoffs.
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Post by kycatscinnreds on Mar 4, 2015 14:35:39 GMT -5
I'll predict ~91 wins, that's about the same as the 2010 and 2013 Reds. A couple of seasons where everything - at least enough things - seemed to go right. Not as high as the 2012 Reds. Better than the 2011 and 2014 Reds, when everything seemed to go wrong. Reds records for the past few years: 2014: 76-86, 46.9% 2013: 90-72, 55.6% 2012: 97-65, 59.9% 2011: 79-83, 48.8% 2010: 91-71, 56.2% 2009: 78-84, 48.1% I expect the rotation to remain strong, despite the loss of Latos (or addition by subtraction). I expect the bullpen to improve, both due to new candidates and because of established relievers who can only be better than they were in 2014. I expect the lineup to be significantly improved by the healthy return of Votto and Bruce. I expect the defense to remain a great strength, which again helps to limit runs allowed. I figured you would have gone with 110+ wins
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Post by kycatscinnreds on Mar 4, 2015 14:36:58 GMT -5
75-87
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Post by redsfanman on Mar 4, 2015 15:41:35 GMT -5
I'll predict ~91 wins, that's about the same as the 2010 and 2013 Reds. A couple of seasons where everything - at least enough things - seemed to go right. Not as high as the 2012 Reds. Better than the 2011 and 2014 Reds, when everything seemed to go wrong. Reds records for the past few years: 2014: 76-86, 46.9% 2013: 90-72, 55.6% 2012: 97-65, 59.9% 2011: 79-83, 48.8% 2010: 91-71, 56.2% 2009: 78-84, 48.1% I expect the rotation to remain strong, despite the loss of Latos (or addition by subtraction). I expect the bullpen to improve, both due to new candidates and because of established relievers who can only be better than they were in 2014. I expect the lineup to be significantly improved by the healthy return of Votto and Bruce. I expect the defense to remain a great strength, which again helps to limit runs allowed. I figured you would have gone with 110+ wins That's not realistic. Matching previous production is.
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Post by kramer1 on Mar 4, 2015 19:52:33 GMT -5
91 wins? AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! WHEEEEEEEEE!
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Post by scotly50 on Mar 9, 2015 6:31:13 GMT -5
At most 75 wins. I hope I am wrong.
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devils
Ted Kluszewski
Posts: 769
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Post by devils on Mar 9, 2015 21:29:13 GMT -5
The only thing that worries me is the starting pitching and a legit lefty to get someone out late in the 7-8 innings!! Byrd should get 18-20 homers,Bruce a ton of k's but pushing 30 homers,Frazier in the 20-25 homer range,mez 20 homers,with the unknown being votto and the injury!! We might not have a lot of guys at the plate with great averages but if healthy scoring runs should not be the issue!! I would like to think if the starting pitching pans out that we have one more run in us before chapman and Cueto depart. If we're playing good at the trade deadline I think there is no question we make a deal that might cost us a good prospect knowing Cueto and chapman will be elsewhere next season!! I'll go with 83 wins and a chance at the wildcard!!
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Post by FoulBalz on Mar 15, 2015 19:00:56 GMT -5
Last year prediction thread only two votes were for under .500 and I dont think anyone (on the thread) claimed credit for those predictions.
Now we have many under .500 Myself included
77 Wins
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Post by general on Mar 16, 2015 12:51:17 GMT -5
It was nice when this team had a solid rotation. Trading Latos really killed that. The team basically traded Latos for Marlon Byrd. I still can't get over how disappointing that is.
Jason Marquis and Paul Maholm will be getting a lot of starts this year. That already makes the team's chances of going over .500 slim to none.
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Post by redsfanman on Mar 16, 2015 14:37:49 GMT -5
It was nice when this team had a solid rotation. Trading Latos really killed that. The team basically traded Latos for Marlon Byrd. I still can't get over how disappointing that is. Jason Marquis and Paul Maholm will be getting a lot of starts this year. That already makes the team's chances of going over .500 slim to none. 'OR' and 'might', not 'AND' and 'WILL'. Here is the sentence corrected: Jason Marquis or Paul Maholm might be getting lots of starts this year.
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Post by Lark11 on Mar 16, 2015 16:11:11 GMT -5
It was nice when this team had a solid rotation. Trading Latos really killed that. The team basically traded Latos for Marlon Byrd. I still can't get over how disappointing that is. Jason Marquis and Paul Maholm will be getting a lot of starts this year. That already makes the team's chances of going over .500 slim to none. 'OR' and 'might', not 'AND' and 'WILL'. Here is the sentence corrected: Jason Marquis or Paul Maholm might be getting lots of starts this year.Is that any better? ?
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Post by redsfanman on Mar 16, 2015 16:58:53 GMT -5
'OR' and 'might', not 'AND' and 'WILL'. Here is the sentence corrected: Jason Marquis or Paul Maholm might be getting lots of starts this year.Is that any better? ? Yes. Having one of them in the rotation is better than both. And Maholm>Marquis. Also if either makes the rotation they can be removed for injury or ineffectiveness.
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